Current estimates for the CAP in 2023 is North of 220 million. From a competitive standpoint the Jets are about fifteenth in CAP space, which means they are right in the middle of the pack. There are teams with serious CAP problems, but the Jets like everyone else will have to make decisions. Free Agency will be different, Jets can only afford a couple of second tier players at best in 2023. The Jets have seven draft picks, but will be drafting in the mid twenties, to fill holes. It will be different.
Carl Lawson and Corey Davis are obvious cuts, primarily because of the depth at their positions, but IMHO Davis is a good value at 11 million.
I sign Mike White, it will be a one year deal , quadrupling his salary to 10 million, and carrying Zach at 8 million, combined, you are still below the average QB starting salary. Moseley needs to restructure, but also in that restructuring needs to take a 5 million dollar hair cut.
The decisions on the Offensive line will be fascinating, Fant and Brown will be gone. Herbig bet on himself and won, should be in demand. McGovern is a very tough decision, the Jets need a Center. Joe Douglas will be challenged in 2023.
Related to the salary question is how we'll draft. What do you think is our priorities?
I think we need a Safety upgrade. Maybe 2.
We need to draft a LB. Quincy is much improved but especially with CJ aging and expensive, we'll need another
We've poured so much capital into OL, but it's still not enough. LG is set. AVT is our best and position flexible. CMG can return as the rock of the line. But the rest are questions.
Fant has a 5 game audition. Becton, Fant, Mitchell - who will step up? Can't rely on health, but can't have 8 figure swing tackles.
Lawson is really good, and maybe still getting back to full strength from injury, but we're loaded at DE. He hasn't become the dominant edge rusher we imagined, but maybe he's still recovering from injury?
Do you think JJ replaces Lawson? If you draft a R1 DE, you need to play him when worthy.
They don't seem to want to keep JFM inside. I think JFM and JJ are our starting DE tandem for next year, with Huff on 3rd down pass rush situations
Corey Davis is a really good player,for all parts of the game. We're better with him on the field. Mims isn't at the same level, but there's only so many footballs to go around.
Without CD, Moore and GW become the lead duo, with Mims stepping up and maybe Berrios getting more role. It would certainly rely on Elijah to show the magic we saw in his rookie season, and Mims to break out.
You again have shown how you keep your subscribers aware and alert to our team at levels of introspection that is stunning. I for one consider my subscription a phenomenal resource and thank you fervently!
Thanks DWH. I rarely think about the cap and the financial side of football even though it is critically important. I also find it terribly confusing. You broke it down nicely and made it much clearer to me. I hope that Joe D is as solid in this area as he seems to be on the player personnel side. Love the team he has created. Now, to just keep it together! Happy holidays David.
Hey David -- I think this is spot on. I was doing similar math yesterday, and something that stuck out to me is: if you go to the overthecap page for contenders like Dallas, Eagles, Bills, they have contracts through 2028. The Jets only have deals through 2025, and as you mention hardly any of that cap is spent. The Jets are in a unique position where they need money to extend their own good, young core players, instead of taking gambles on free agents. This changes the math in a way that for Jets fans is unfamiliar (at least, that's what I tell myself to rationalize harsh realities like the dreadful Tomlinson contract).
I understand why you probably didn't want to open this can of worms, but working to retain players also always helps with the comp pick formula, which I believe JD hugely values.
What is very hard to fathom - the "baby" jets are at the cap or near it. How do the Bills, Chiefs, Bucs - do it with the most expensive QBs on the planet ? If they really are the youngest team in the NFL then someone (Douglas) did a terrible job managing the cap. There shouldnt even be a discussion on this at this part of the rebuild.
Current estimates for the CAP in 2023 is North of 220 million. From a competitive standpoint the Jets are about fifteenth in CAP space, which means they are right in the middle of the pack. There are teams with serious CAP problems, but the Jets like everyone else will have to make decisions. Free Agency will be different, Jets can only afford a couple of second tier players at best in 2023. The Jets have seven draft picks, but will be drafting in the mid twenties, to fill holes. It will be different.
Carl Lawson and Corey Davis are obvious cuts, primarily because of the depth at their positions, but IMHO Davis is a good value at 11 million.
I sign Mike White, it will be a one year deal , quadrupling his salary to 10 million, and carrying Zach at 8 million, combined, you are still below the average QB starting salary. Moseley needs to restructure, but also in that restructuring needs to take a 5 million dollar hair cut.
The decisions on the Offensive line will be fascinating, Fant and Brown will be gone. Herbig bet on himself and won, should be in demand. McGovern is a very tough decision, the Jets need a Center. Joe Douglas will be challenged in 2023.
Related to the salary question is how we'll draft. What do you think is our priorities?
I think we need a Safety upgrade. Maybe 2.
We need to draft a LB. Quincy is much improved but especially with CJ aging and expensive, we'll need another
We've poured so much capital into OL, but it's still not enough. LG is set. AVT is our best and position flexible. CMG can return as the rock of the line. But the rest are questions.
Fant has a 5 game audition. Becton, Fant, Mitchell - who will step up? Can't rely on health, but can't have 8 figure swing tackles.
Is Herbig a starting RG with AVT starting OT?
Lawson is really good, and maybe still getting back to full strength from injury, but we're loaded at DE. He hasn't become the dominant edge rusher we imagined, but maybe he's still recovering from injury?
Do you think JJ replaces Lawson? If you draft a R1 DE, you need to play him when worthy.
They don't seem to want to keep JFM inside. I think JFM and JJ are our starting DE tandem for next year, with Huff on 3rd down pass rush situations
Corey Davis is a really good player,for all parts of the game. We're better with him on the field. Mims isn't at the same level, but there's only so many footballs to go around.
Without CD, Moore and GW become the lead duo, with Mims stepping up and maybe Berrios getting more role. It would certainly rely on Elijah to show the magic we saw in his rookie season, and Mims to break out.
As I understand it Joe D inherited a nightmare of dead cap money; one of the highest in the league.
He has all but eliminated that issue as DWH's graphic showed (the one w/ Jacob Martin's $2.3m).
He has done a masterful job.
I would be cutting Joyner and Curry as well as Lawson (unless a serious restructure is made).
Our needs are relatively small compared to past yrs...Safety, LB and OLine depth most front and center.
You again have shown how you keep your subscribers aware and alert to our team at levels of introspection that is stunning. I for one consider my subscription a phenomenal resource and thank you fervently!
Thanks DWH. I rarely think about the cap and the financial side of football even though it is critically important. I also find it terribly confusing. You broke it down nicely and made it much clearer to me. I hope that Joe D is as solid in this area as he seems to be on the player personnel side. Love the team he has created. Now, to just keep it together! Happy holidays David.
Hey David -- I think this is spot on. I was doing similar math yesterday, and something that stuck out to me is: if you go to the overthecap page for contenders like Dallas, Eagles, Bills, they have contracts through 2028. The Jets only have deals through 2025, and as you mention hardly any of that cap is spent. The Jets are in a unique position where they need money to extend their own good, young core players, instead of taking gambles on free agents. This changes the math in a way that for Jets fans is unfamiliar (at least, that's what I tell myself to rationalize harsh realities like the dreadful Tomlinson contract).
I understand why you probably didn't want to open this can of worms, but working to retain players also always helps with the comp pick formula, which I believe JD hugely values.
What is very hard to fathom - the "baby" jets are at the cap or near it. How do the Bills, Chiefs, Bucs - do it with the most expensive QBs on the planet ? If they really are the youngest team in the NFL then someone (Douglas) did a terrible job managing the cap. There shouldnt even be a discussion on this at this part of the rebuild.